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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cody Bellinger

Cody Bellinger

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
658
H
160
HR
29
AVG
.271
xwOBA
.328
PPG
2.90
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665277.275.379.472.197.37713.0%14.1%-1.1%972023.11—
2025163658.271
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.328
xBA
40
.249
xSLG
.337
.478
.207
.328
13.7%
8.7%
5.0%
29
13
473
2.90
—
2024135570.265.327.426.161.31115.6%7.9%7.7%1893422.53—
2023135556.307.364.525.218.33015.6%7.2%8.4%26214493.33—
2022156551.210.268.388.178.28427.2%6.9%20.3%19142261.45—
2021112350.165.242.302.137.28526.9%8.9%18.0%1081481.32—
202077243.239.333.455.216.38017.3%12.3%5.0%1272102.73—
2019167661.304.408.628.324.44516.3%14.4%1.9%47186103.65—
2018182633.260.344.470.210.33423.9%10.9%13.0%25193812.09—
2017159548.267.354.581.314.37826.6%11.7%14.9%39124272.69—
45
.429
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
20
88.2
Median EV
19
90.7
90th % EV
15
102.7
Barrel %
27
7.5
Hard-Hit %
19
37.9
Sweet-Spot %
77
38.5
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.9
Median
19
69.8
90th %
15
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.1
Whiff %
88
15.8
K %
89
13.7
BB %
50
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
90
≈ 15th pctl
Chase cost
-51.5r
514 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.0r
380 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.4%
2,632 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.91
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+13%8+9%11+24%17+20%15+20%10+0%65+22%18+24%33+27%40+22%40+26%31+25%20+25%8+33%24+4%51-34%50-31%80-23%60+42%36+38%13+29%21-3%38-31%42-20%49-22%45+17%23+73%11+11%9+15%13+33%9+13%24+31%16+0%72531132CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000