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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Colson Montgomery

Colson Montgomery

3B / SS·CHW
Compare
Compare
PA
284
H
61
HR
21
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.344
PPG
2.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202698412.217.299.459.242.32131.8%8.3%23.5%2411891.93—
202571284.239
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

284 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
64
.344
xBA
15
.232
.312
.529
.290
.344
29.2%
8.8%
20.4%
21
0
177
2.49
—
xSLG
87
.503
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
89.4
Median EV
36
92.5
90th % EV
88
108.4
Barrel %
85
14.5
Hard-Hit %
47
44.5
Sweet-Spot %
74
38.2
Bat Speed
Avg
99
75.4
Median
96
76.5
90th %
94
81.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.5
Whiff %
7
30.4
K %
5
29.2
BB %
51
8.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 47th pctl
Chase cost
-16.8r
201 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.8r
142 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.7%
1,082 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.55
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+13%8+23%13+14%7+10%1054+50%10+42%26+33%40+0%29+19%26+29%14+0%7+18%17+41%34-32%47-27%75-31%42+47%30+28%18+50%18+24%34-25%51-25%69-20%54+6%31+22%9+26%19+46%13+7%30+25%36+43%23+31%13+11%9+17%6553-14%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000