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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Colt Keith

Colt Keith

2B / 3B·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
556
H
134
HR
13
AVG
.260
xwOBA
.316
PPG
1.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664203.253.297.332.079.30320.7%5.4%15.3%13711.11—
2025146468.256
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.316
xBA
71
.263
xSLG
.336
.413
.157
.343
21.8%
10.3%
11.5%
13
1
230
1.58
—
2024161556.260.310.380.120.31619.8%6.5%13.3%1372581.60—
24
.397
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.8
Median EV
18
90.4
90th % EV
23
103.4
Barrel %
15
5.6
Hard-Hit %
15
35.3
Sweet-Spot %
56
36.3
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.5
Median
36
70.9
90th %
29
75.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
29.9
Whiff %
52
21.5
K %
56
19.8
BB %
17
6.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 46th pctl
Chase cost
-39.0r
382 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.5r
274 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.0%
2,089 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.56
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+14%7+13%8+8%13+0%10+0%12+0%73+47%17+4%28+0%31+15%33+21%34+24%21+20%10+27%26+4%51-29%79-24%68-10%58+74%19+23%13+32%22-6%34-31%58-21%63+5%44+60%20+17%6+50%10+42%12+41%17+54%24+50%12+36%11353+13%85231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000