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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Colt Keith

Colt Keith

2B / 3B·DET
Compare
Compare
PA
468
H
106
HR
13
AVG
.256
xwOBA
.343
PPG
1.58
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661189.260.303.328.068.29721.2%5.3%15.9%02611.00—
2025146468.256
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

468 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
62
.343
xBA
57
.258
.336
.413
.157
.343
21.8%
10.3%
11.5%
13
1
230
1.58
—
2024161556.260.310.380.120.31619.8%6.5%13.3%1372581.60—
xSLG
58
.453
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
90.0
Median EV
50
93.1
90th % EV
42
105.2
Barrel %
45
9.2
Hard-Hit %
42
43.7
Sweet-Spot %
99
43.7
Bat Speed
Avg
28
69.0
Median
31
70.7
90th %
23
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
25.3
Whiff %
64
20.5
K %
42
21.8
BB %
71
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-29.1r
301 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.2r
292 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.7%
1,873 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.42
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31+38%8+10%10+9%11+14%73+14%14+13%23+5%39+10%40+34%29+34%29+18%11+52%25-9%53-46%83-30%71-20%46+59%27+70%10+28%32-17%47-38%53-28%47-12%52+60%204+31%13+26%27+21%29+22%18+36%11+29%713+0%6131CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000