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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #31 of 57

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Connor Norby
Connor Norby · #31
V⁻ -50VORP -25V⁺ -4
Connor Norby

Connor Norby

1B / 3B·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
233
H
41
HR
4
AVG
.205
xwOBA
.281
PPG
1.03
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj72312.237.304.387.149.30927.2%7.8%19.4%961251.74—
202664233.205
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

233 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.281
xBA
0
.183
.315
.325
.120
.281
30.0%
10.3%
19.7%
4
6
66
1.03
—
202589337.251.302.389.138.30726.7%5.3%21.4%881421.60—
202448196.233.292.433.200.31732.7%7.7%25.0%94861.79—
xSLG
4
.324
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.0
Median EV
31
91.1
90th % EV
9
100.4
Barrel %
41
7.6
Hard-Hit %
24
36.6
Sweet-Spot %
10
31.3
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.6
Median
24
69.8
90th %
15
73.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
27.3
Whiff %
7
29.7
K %
7
30.0
BB %
63
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
119
≈ 97th pctl
Chase cost
-2.9r
36 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
44 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.5%
288 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.74
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112144+10%1032+0%624+0%10-33%24-22%18-12%851+33%9-9%22-21%24-27%22-25%833+50%8+0%8+0%18+22%93314+17%63221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 288