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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Connor Norby

Connor Norby

1B / 3B·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
337
H
78
HR
8
AVG
.251
xwOBA
.307
PPG
1.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202656205.205.314.330.125.28828.8%10.2%18.6%46711.27—
202589337.251
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

337 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
17
.307
xBA
20
.237
.302
.389
.138
.307
26.7%
5.3%
21.4%
8
8
142
1.60
—
202448196.233.292.433.200.31732.7%7.7%25.0%94861.79—
xSLG
32
.413
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
21
88.3
Median EV
20
91.1
90th % EV
17
102.8
Barrel %
47
9.4
Hard-Hit %
19
37.1
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.4
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.9
Median
11
68.8
90th %
11
73.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
32.1
Whiff %
15
28.3
K %
12
26.7
BB %
11
5.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Chase cost
-24.7r
258 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.3r
128 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.1%
1,258 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
253+14%7141+33%9+8%13+22%18+21%24+42%26+40%102+33%24-19%47-11%61-7%54+12%33+65%264+44%34+12%52-15%73-23%83-2%44+48%25+0%12+24%21+52%29+31%36+12%34+10%20+11%954+36%11+20%10+17%653CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000