Connor Phillips

Connor Phillips

P · CIN
MLBAM 683175
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20265324.5%20.8%0.349524.00
20259832.7%12.2%0.309904.09
20239627.1%13.5%0.335255.00

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
97
98.0
FB Spin
92
2504
Extension
15
6.06
Results
xwOBA
28
0.349
Barrel %
26
10.7
Hard-Hit %
70
35.7
K %
64
24.5
BB %
1
20.8
Chase %
22
26.4
Whiff %
87
28.6
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
88
12th pctl
Stuff+
121
if they swing
Command+
71
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
120
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
5.0%
13 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.054
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.012 worse than avg · 85 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.025
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.005 better than avg · 22 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 258 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE38°100 PITCHSAMPLE
STFFCU
Usage52%47%1%
MPH86.398.084.9
RHP Avg83.395.080.2

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
STFFCU-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
STFFCU-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
STFFCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 20ST · 31CU · 33arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.