Connor Seabold

P · DET

MLBAM 657756

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	36	25.0%	8.3%	0.246	26	4.33
2025	48	20.8%	12.5%	0.327	21	2.63
2023	408	16.4%	6.9%	0.347	21	0.70
2022	97	19.6%	7.2%	0.366	-55	-9.17
2021	12	0.0%	16.7%	0.456	0	0.00

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

36 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

93.0

FB Spin

2182

Extension

6.28

Results

xwOBA

0.246

Barrel %

8.7

Hard-Hit %

26.1

K %

25.0

BB %

8.3

Chase %

35.1

Whiff %

19.5

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

106

≈ 72th pctl

Stuff+

if they swing

Command+

113

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

10.3%

16 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.026

RV per pitch · league 0.042

-0.016 better than avg · 52 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.075

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.046 worse than avg · 11 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 156 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF	50.0%	93.8	2150	7.1%	65.8%	21.9%	24.0%	0.219
ChangeupCH	28.8%	83.0	2279	27.8%	26.2%	23.8%	41.9%	0.299
SliderSL	13.0%	83.2	2605	50.0%	47.4%	47.4%	40.0%	0.117
CutterFC	6.8%	87.2	2419	20.0%	30.0%	10.0%	28.6%	0.465
SweeperST	1.4%	82.8	2670	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	100.0%	—

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	CH	SL	FC	ST

Usage	50%	29%	13%	7%	1%
MPH	93.8	83.0	83.2	87.2	82.8
RHP Avg	95.0	86.9	86.7	89.8	83.3

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFCHSLFCST

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.