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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #51 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Connor Wong
Connor Wong · #51
V⁻ -16VORP -277V⁺ 2
Connor Wong

Connor Wong

C·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
82
H
19
HR
0
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.284
PPG
1.54
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj30120.238.298.360.122.29624.5%7.0%17.5%22451.51—
20262482.264
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

82 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.284
xBA
9
.220
.338
.375
.111
.284
22.0%
7.3%
14.7%
0
1
37
1.54
—
202560188.190.265.238.048.26722.3%8.5%13.8%02440.73—
2024129488.279.334.424.145.29223.4%5.7%17.7%1382281.77—
2023118404.234.288.384.150.27433.2%5.4%27.8%981391.18—
20222556.188.278.313.125.27628.6%8.9%19.7%11251.00—
2021514.308.357.538.230.31350.0%7.1%42.9%0040.80—
xSLG
8
.334
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
84.4
Median EV
42
92.0
90th % EV
59
106.0
Barrel %
12
3.6
Hard-Hit %
28
37.5
Sweet-Spot %
7
30.4
Bat Speed
Avg
57
70.7
Median
54
72.2
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
24
34.2
Whiff %
38
23.9
K %
38
22.0
BB %
24
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 45th pctl
Chase cost
-1.9r
24 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
16 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.2%
111 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.58
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111142114+0%7-25%8+0%7+57%7243-33%9-57%7541444511312CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 111