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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Connor Wong

Connor Wong

C·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
488
H
125
HR
13
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.292
PPG
1.77
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262586.257.345.365.108.29422.1%8.1%14.0%01391.56—
202560188.190
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

488 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.292
xBA
8
.227
.265
.238
.048
.267
22.3%
8.5%
13.8%
0
2
44
0.73
—
2024129488.279.334.424.145.29223.4%5.7%17.7%1382281.77—
2023118404.234.288.384.150.27433.2%5.4%27.8%981391.18—
20222556.188.278.313.125.27628.6%8.9%19.7%11251.00—
2021514.308.357.538.230.31350.0%7.1%42.9%0040.80—
xSLG
8
.363
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
5
85.4
Median EV
10
89.9
90th % EV
37
104.1
Barrel %
21
6.3
Hard-Hit %
13
34.5
Sweet-Spot %
10
31.5
Bat Speed
Avg
56
70.5
Median
48
71.4
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
29.3
Whiff %
26
26.5
K %
37
23.4
BB %
10
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 66th pctl
Chase cost
-31.5r
355 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.5r
244 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.6%
1,877 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.39
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
53324+18%11+40%10+7%15+4%26+30%23+15%134+58%19-24%42-31%52-20%66-18%40+33%24+14%7+64%25+7%45-25%63-25%55-17%46+64%22+0%11+31%16+44%43+22%55-6%36+21%29+20%15+0%7+26%19+9%11+33%12+25%12+25%851CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000