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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #371 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Cooper Criswell
Cooper Criswell · #60
V⁻ —VORP -57V⁺ —
Cooper Criswell

Cooper Criswell

SP / RP·SEA
Compare
Compare
BF
122
K %
18.9%
BB %
6.6%
xwOBA
.288
PTS
71
PPG
2.73
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj37141.022073.943.8819.5%7.2%12.3%————822.22
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

122 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
3
89.5
FB Spin
31
2199
2026
26
0
30.7
2
1
1
3
3.52
3.75
18.9%
6.6%
12.3%
.288
.291
73.2%
61.8%
71
2.73
20259220.712103.485.4211.3%6.3%5.0%.311.32473.9%53.0%232.56
20242719103.365003.923.9717.2%7.3%9.9%.325.30470.5%49.5%1666.15
202311137.011005.355.0517.9%7.3%10.6%.350.30969.3%43.1%474.27
2022113.300002.701.6030.8%7.7%23.1%.171.25066.7%62.5%99.00
2021111.3010020.253.100.0%0.0%0.0%.406.60050.0%60.0%-13-13.00
Extension
58
6.57
Results
xwOBA
84
.288
Barrel %
96
4.5
Hard-Hit %
80
36.0
K %
31
18.9
BB %
76
6.6
Chase %
98
36.4
Whiff %
22
19.2
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
113
≈ 90th pctl
Stuff+
102
if they swing
Command+
120
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
99
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.5%
14 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.033
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.009 better than avg · 66 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.031
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.002 worse than avg · 4 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 165 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
ChangeupCH
33.1%85.21540-7.0+14.86.4527.6%26.1%26.1%58.8%12.0%0.387
SinkerSI
27.3%90.5

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE7°100 PITCHSAMPLE
CHSIFCSTFF
Usage33%27%18%17%4%
MPH85.290.586.578.190.9
RHP Avg86.994.389.883.395.0
2053
-4.1
+16.9
6.52
5.3%
63.2%
26.3%
21.4%
0.0%
0.363
CutterFC
18.0%86.52248+6.5-1.96.5215.4%36.0%16.0%37.5%18.2%0.475
SweeperST
17.3%78.12596+7.3-19.96.6025.0%50.0%41.7%8.3%20.0%0.203
4-Seam FastballFF
4.3%90.92296+9.3+12.46.970.0%50.0%33.3%0.0%25.0%0.000

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 14″FC · 15″ST · 19″SI · 18″CH · 20″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 35″FC · 43″ST · 66″SI · 36″CH · 49″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.09′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
CHSIFCSTFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
CHSIFCSTFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
CHSIFCSTFF

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.