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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

OF·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
646
H
161
HR
25
AVG
.284
xwOBA
.347
PPG
3.10
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663264.285.378.553.268.36821.6%12.1%9.5%1071872.97—
2025146645.257
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
63
.347
xBA
64
.263
xSLG
.343
.538
.281
.377
23.7%
10.4%
13.3%
31
32
463
3.17
—
2024160684.231.326.428.197.32919.0%10.7%8.3%22384512.82—
2023178646.284.363.505.221.34719.3%8.8%10.5%25625523.10—
202237116.257.328.495.238.29826.7%6.9%19.8%42651.76—
51
.443
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.3
Median EV
56
92.7
90th % EV
60
106.0
Barrel %
37
7.6
Hard-Hit %
43
40.9
Sweet-Spot %
19
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
66
71.3
Median
67
72.8
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
47
28.0
Whiff %
63
19.6
K %
57
19.3
BB %
47
8.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 75th pctl
Chase cost
-43.1r
479 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.7r
412 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.6%
2,745 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.29
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+0%64+17%64+14%72+63%8+53%32+34%47+34%32+16%25+0%23+13%8+52%23-8%53-32%59-27%71-12%50+42%19+10%10+59%17-11%37-35%57-27%73-13%55+26%35+0%9+25%12+21%19+10%29+18%28+5%21+20%155245+11%9321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000