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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

OF·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
684
H
136
HR
22
AVG
.231
xwOBA
.329
PPG
2.82
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666282.280.375.543.263.36721.6%11.7%9.9%1181912.89—
2025146645.257
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
42
.329
xBA
11
.231
xSLG
.343
.538
.281
.377
23.7%
10.4%
13.3%
31
32
463
3.17
—
2024160684.231.326.428.197.32919.0%10.7%8.3%22384512.82—
2023178646.284.363.505.221.34719.3%8.8%10.5%25625523.10—
202237116.257.328.495.238.29826.7%6.9%19.8%42651.76—
23
.396
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
88.8
Median EV
45
92.1
90th % EV
65
106.0
Barrel %
32
7.2
Hard-Hit %
44
40.8
Sweet-Spot %
1
28.7
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.1
Median
75
73.3
90th %
73
78.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
71
24.7
Whiff %
74
18.5
K %
62
19.0
BB %
73
10.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 65th pctl
Chase cost
-43.2r
437 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.3r
403 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.0%
2,682 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.41
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+14%7+0%10+10%10443+37%19+24%33+7%30-2%44+24%25+0%9+0%9+57%23-2%49-40%65-21%57-15%40+16%19+8%12+27%22-5%39-41%68-38%58-18%56+19%21+0%7+18%11+19%27+4%27+8%24+27%26+7%151+0%943+0%11+0%73CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000