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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #11 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Corey Seager
Corey Seager · #11
V⁻ 14VORP 42V⁺ 82
Corey Seager

Corey Seager

SS·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
190
H
30
HR
8
AVG
.183
xwOBA
.340
PPG
1.76
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj71306.262.351.480.218.36720.0%11.4%8.6%1511902.67—
202645190.183
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

190 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
54
.340
xBA
20
.231
.287
.366
.183
.340
26.8%
11.6%
15.2%
8
1
79
1.76
—
2025104445.271.375.487.216.41019.6%13.0%6.6%2132832.72—
2024127533.278.354.512.234.40018.0%9.9%8.1%3013482.74—
2023143536.327.394.623.296.41816.4%9.1%7.3%3325313.71—
2022163663.245.319.455.210.37815.5%8.7%6.8%3334202.58—
2021115409.306.397.521.215.39516.1%11.7%4.4%1613282.85—
202073232.307.361.585.278.43015.9%7.3%8.6%1532883.95—
2019142541.272.337.483.211.33318.1%8.1%10.0%1913652.57—
201832115.267.351.396.129.38014.8%9.6%5.2%20822.56—
2017157614.294.376.478.184.38421.3%10.9%10.4%2253912.49—
xSLG
64
.458
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
91.0
Median EV
42
92.0
90th % EV
78
107.4
Barrel %
91
15.7
Hard-Hit %
58
44.3
Sweet-Spot %
62
37.4
Bat Speed
Avg
43
70.1
Median
51
72.0
90th %
37
75.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
29.1
Whiff %
7
32.0
K %
18
26.8
BB %
71
11.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 70th pctl
Chase cost
-6.1r
62 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.4r
24 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.2%
327 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.31
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
134322+0%6+18%11+27%15+38%8+0%8+17%63+71%7+28%18-5%20-15%27-27%15+67%9+13%8+42%12+46%13-33%12-24%17+13%8555+33%6+14%74+17%611211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 327