Cristian Javier

P · HOU

MLBAM 664299

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	48	8.3%	18.8%	0.404	-12	-3.00
2025	158	21.5%	9.5%	0.286	50	6.25
2024	150	18.0%	12.7%	0.330	77	9.63
2023	687	23.1%	9.0%	0.326	346	9.89
2022	587	33.0%	8.9%	0.250	492	14.47
2021	424	30.7%	12.5%	0.328	296	7.05
2020	214	25.2%	8.4%	0.271	175	10.29

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

48 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

92.8

FB Spin

2201

Extension

6.03

Results

xwOBA

0.404

Barrel %

12.1

Hard-Hit %

36.4

K %

8.3

BB %

18.8

Chase %

22.1

Whiff %

19.5

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

≈ 2th pctl

Stuff+

if they swing

Command+

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

8.2%

20 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.071

RV per pitch · league 0.042

+0.029 worse than avg · 58 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.042

RV per pitch · league 0.029

+0.013 worse than avg · 32 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 245 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF	48.3%	92.8	2189	11.4%	48.2%	12.9%	22.7%	0.536
SweeperST	25.0%	79.1	2578	25.0%	50.0%	27.3%	18.2%	0.243
ChangeupCH	15.3%	84.5	2354	33.3%	48.1%	25.9%	28.6%	0.213
SinkerSI	6.3%	93.0	2288	20.0%	45.5%	18.2%	16.7%	0.379
Knuckle CurveKC	5.1%	76.8	2978	50.0%	0.0%	11.1%	22.2%	0.706

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	FF	ST	CH	SI	KC

Usage	48%	25%	15%	6%	5%
MPH	92.8	79.1	84.5	93.0	76.8
RHP Avg	95.0	83.3	86.9	94.3	83.0

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

FFSTCHSIKC

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.