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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #3 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Cristopher Sánchez
Cristopher Sánchez · #3
V⁻ —VORP 148V⁺ —
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sánchez

SP·PHI
Compare
Compare
BF
375
K %
30.1%
BB %
4.8%
xwOBA
.264
PTS
297
PPG
21.21
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj2121131.084002.992.8624.7%6.0%18.7%————31114.83
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
74
95.1
FB Spin
12
2135
Extension
2026
14
14
93.3
8
2
0
0
1.54
1.85
30.1%
4.8%
25.3%
.264
.322
83.7%
58.4%
297
21.21
20253434214.0135002.482.5026.2%5.4%20.8%.273.29779.7%58.5%56716.68
20243433190.3119003.403.0520.3%5.8%14.5%.298.31471.7%58.3%36810.82
20232019101.735003.453.8324.2%4.0%20.2%.299.27073.1%57.7%20710.35
202219547.042124.984.5019.7%9.6%10.1%.324.27369.4%54.5%894.68
20217112.710004.973.7322.0%11.9%10.1%.283.39569.4%66.7%192.71
92
6.94
Results
xwOBA
94
.264
Barrel %
44
8.6
Hard-Hit %
29
43.2
K %
97
30.1
BB %
95
4.8
Chase %
99
37.7
Whiff %
97
30.7
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Stuff+
106
if they swing
Command+
109
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
103
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.6%
40 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.032
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.010 better than avg · 135 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.038
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.009 worse than avg · 18 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 418 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
SinkerSI
48.9%94.72138+4.3+18.86.9410.4%62.1%26.4%24.6%20.5%0.316
ChangeupCH
32.3%86.1

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE30°100 PITCHSAMPLE
SICHSL
Usage49%32%19%
MPH94.786.185.5
LHP Avg93.084.684.7
2027
-1.7
+17.2
7.04
51.8%
29.2%
32.5%
37.6%
31.6%
0.181
SliderSL
18.8%85.52057-4.1-1.76.8436.4%45.7%37.1%39.5%21.1%0.346

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTSI · 23″SL · 25″CH · 24″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′SI · 24″SL · 48″CH · 44″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.25′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
SICHSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SICHSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
SICHSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.