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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #22 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead · #22
V⁻ -28VORP 6V⁺ 2
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1B / 3B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
186
H
38
HR
9
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.374
PPG
2.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj56240.251.321.409.158.32619.6%7.8%11.8%741232.20—
202653186.239
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

186 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
81
.374
xBA
61
.264
.349
.472
.233
.374
17.7%
12.9%
4.8%
9
3
129
2.43
—
202592266.231.298.318.087.28923.7%5.6%18.1%35941.02—
202443132.238.285.287.049.28622.7%4.5%18.2%12400.93—
20232692.253.326.349.096.27422.8%7.6%15.2%10351.35—
xSLG
72
.469
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
46
89.6
Median EV
36
91.6
90th % EV
52
105.4
Barrel %
62
10.5
Hard-Hit %
65
45.2
Sweet-Spot %
75
38.7
Bat Speed
Avg
60
70.9
Median
31
70.3
90th %
44
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
82
24.0
Whiff %
83
15.4
K %
66
17.7
BB %
80
12.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 89th pctl
Chase cost
-2.4r
30 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
41 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.2%
218 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.02
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1221+17%6+50%6+14%7334-33%12-45%20-47%15-42%12424+20%15-20%10-9%11+0%9434+29%7+0%10-12%8-17%621231212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 218