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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1B / 3B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
266
H
56
HR
3
AVG
.231
xwOBA
.289
PPG
1.02
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202653186.239.349.472.233.37417.7%12.9%4.8%931292.43—
202592266.231
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

266 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.289
xBA
10
.230
.298
.318
.087
.289
23.7%
5.6%
18.1%
3
5
94
1.02
—
202443132.238.285.287.049.28622.7%4.5%18.2%12400.93—
20232692.253.326.349.096.27422.8%7.6%15.2%10351.35—
xSLG
4
.346
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
15
87.5
Median EV
17
90.5
90th % EV
20
103.5
Barrel %
7
4.5
Hard-Hit %
15
34.8
Sweet-Spot %
39
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.1
Median
65
73.0
90th %
72
78.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
44
27.7
Whiff %
75
18.6
K %
30
23.7
BB %
12
5.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Chase cost
-16.0r
164 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.6r
147 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.7%
1,043 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13434+0%6+27%15+6%18-6%33+19%21+60%20+33%12+13%8+41%17-4%26-23%47-23%61-21%48+25%32+30%10+44%34+18%51-38%66-26%53-27%56+15%26+38%13+25%12+19%36+7%44+11%46+0%20+18%2254+22%9+13%85+0%943CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000