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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Danny Jansen

Danny Jansen

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
301
H
61
HR
17
AVG
.228
xwOBA
.317
PPG
2.22
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202640142.171.277.309.138.25328.2%9.2%19.0%31401.00—
202598340.213
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

301 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.317
xBA
2
.213
.320
.395
.182
.300
25.3%
12.4%
12.9%
14
0
149
1.52
—
202485324.205.312.349.144.29418.8%12.3%6.5%901381.62—
202387301.228.312.474.246.31720.6%7.6%13.0%1701932.22—
202276249.259.344.514.255.37117.7%10.0%7.7%1511872.46—
202169205.223.299.473.250.33321.5%8.3%13.2%1101251.81—
202044147.183.315.358.175.35421.1%14.3%6.8%60871.98—
2019112384.207.280.360.153.31420.6%8.1%12.5%1301711.53—
20183195.247.351.432.185.31417.9%9.5%8.4%30501.61—
xSLG
39
.425
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.3
Median EV
17
90.4
90th % EV
19
103.5
Barrel %
66
10.7
Hard-Hit %
22
37.4
Sweet-Spot %
51
36.4
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.9
Median
33
70.8
90th %
28
75.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
72
24.8
Whiff %
58
20.6
K %
51
20.6
BB %
35
7.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Chase cost
-19.3r
191 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.1r
156 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.7%
1,244 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.12
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
131+22%9411+29%7+67%9+13%24-4%24+21%14+0%12+0%7+45%11-3%35-23%62-22%59-2%53+35%31+11%9+43%30-5%56-15%52-27%70-17%53+33%24+0%11+35%20+24%37+20%30+6%52+37%27+33%1252+0%12+8%13+33%6+0%6+0%72CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000