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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Danny Jansen

Danny Jansen

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
324
H
57
HR
9
AVG
.205
xwOBA
.294
PPG
1.62
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202640142.171.277.309.138.25328.2%9.2%19.0%31401.00—
202598340.213
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

324 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.294
xBA
1
.200
.320
.395
.182
.300
25.3%
12.4%
12.9%
14
0
149
1.52
—
202485324.205.312.349.144.29418.8%12.3%6.5%901381.62—
202387301.228.312.474.246.31720.6%7.6%13.0%1701932.22—
202276249.259.344.514.255.37117.7%10.0%7.7%1511872.46—
202169205.223.299.473.250.33321.5%8.3%13.2%1101251.81—
202044147.183.315.358.175.35421.1%14.3%6.8%60871.98—
2019112384.207.280.360.153.31420.6%8.1%12.5%1301711.53—
20183195.247.351.432.185.31417.9%9.5%8.4%30501.61—
xSLG
4
.350
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.6
Median EV
6
89.0
90th % EV
13
101.9
Barrel %
23
6.4
Hard-Hit %
6
29.5
Sweet-Spot %
33
34.5
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.4
Median
15
69.0
90th %
10
73.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
96
20.3
Whiff %
68
19.3
K %
63
18.8
BB %
96
12.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
118
≈ 96th pctl
Chase cost
-17.0r
178 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.9r
219 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.7%
1,367 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
213+0%7241+27%11+0%22+3%34+0%24+35%17+13%15+0%6+50%22+3%37-20%49-25%63-28%40+28%255+33%18+10%50-39%64-23%73-26%46+10%20+0%8+48%23+32%34+20%41+0%40-5%19+0%13+0%9+0%12+10%10+0%7+0%11432CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000