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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #33 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen · #33
V⁻ -15VORP -237V⁺ 13
Danny Jansen

Danny Jansen

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
142
H
21
HR
3
AVG
.171
xwOBA
.253
PPG
1.00
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj55218.208.302.373.165.30624.1%10.6%13.5%71921.68—
202640142.171
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

142 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.253
xBA
0
.167
.277
.309
.138
.253
28.2%
9.2%
19.0%
3
1
40
1.00
—
202598340.213.320.395.182.30025.3%12.4%12.9%1401491.52—
202485324.205.312.349.144.29418.8%12.3%6.5%901381.62—
202387301.228.312.474.246.31720.6%7.6%13.0%1701932.22—
202276249.259.344.514.255.37117.7%10.0%7.7%1511872.46—
202169205.223.299.473.250.33321.5%8.3%13.2%1101251.81—
202044147.183.315.358.175.35421.1%14.3%6.8%60871.98—
2019112384.207.280.360.153.31420.6%8.1%12.5%1301711.53—
20183195.247.351.432.185.31417.9%9.5%8.4%30501.61—
xSLG
0
.273
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
86.9
Median EV
23
89.8
90th % EV
30
103.3
Barrel %
24
6.0
Hard-Hit %
16
33.3
Sweet-Spot %
0
23.8
Bat Speed
Avg
16
67.6
Median
32
70.4
90th %
19
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
82
23.8
Whiff %
38
23.1
K %
14
28.2
BB %
46
9.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 55th pctl
Chase cost
-4.0r
39 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
35 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.9%
242 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.47
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
111553452+50%6+0%9-28%18+0%10-11%941+39%18+36%11-50%14-25%20-27%15+14%744+43%7+8%12-9%113313332CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 242