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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Dansby Swanson

Dansby Swanson

SS·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
639
H
138
HR
22
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.344
PPG
2.25
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662242.174.282.314.140.29123.1%12.4%10.7%751101.77—
2025170638.243
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
59
.344
xBA
35
.248
xSLG
.301
.416
.173
.347
26.0%
7.2%
18.8%
24
20
306
1.80
—
2024153595.241.313.388.147.32624.2%9.1%15.1%16192901.90—
2023152639.244.328.415.171.34424.1%10.3%13.8%22103422.25—
2022178697.276.330.446.170.34226.1%7.0%19.1%25183782.12—
2021183653.248.315.449.201.33325.6%8.0%17.6%27103621.98—
202074264.274.346.464.190.35326.9%8.3%18.6%1071842.49—
2019136545.251.328.422.171.35222.8%9.4%13.4%17103172.33—
2018140534.238.305.395.157.29422.8%8.2%14.6%14102391.71—
2017148551.232.314.324.092.30321.8%10.7%11.1%632201.49—
61
.459
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
42
89.3
Median EV
38
91.6
90th % EV
35
104.4
Barrel %
66
10.9
Hard-Hit %
34
39.7
Sweet-Spot %
49
36.3
Bat Speed
Avg
46
70.2
Median
38
71.1
90th %
19
74.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.6
Whiff %
21
27.0
K %
22
24.1
BB %
69
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-39.2r
387 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.9r
325 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.3%
2,557 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
42+33%6151+11%9+25%16+5%21+19%21+56%18+40%10+17%6+56%18+17%41-10%58-20%46-6%47+40%15+50%6+32%25+10%67-20%66-21%52-26%46+56%18+17%6+9%23+19%42+5%57+4%48+21%28+38%8+14%7+0%18+11%19+7%14+0%7332CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000