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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #21 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson · #21
V⁻ -36VORP 1V⁺ 30
Dansby Swanson

Dansby Swanson

SS·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
242
H
36
HR
7
AVG
.174
xwOBA
.291
PPG
1.77
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj100432.241.311.409.169.32224.3%9.2%15.1%15102082.08—
202662242.174
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.291
xBA
1
.192
xSLG
.282
.314
.140
.291
23.1%
12.4%
10.7%
7
5
110
1.77
—
2025170638.243.301.416.173.34726.0%7.2%18.8%24203061.80—
2024153595.241.313.388.147.32624.2%9.1%15.1%16192901.90—
2023152639.244.328.415.171.34424.1%10.3%13.8%22103422.25—
2022178697.276.330.446.170.34226.1%7.0%19.1%25183782.12—
2021183653.248.315.449.201.33325.6%8.0%17.6%27103621.98—
202074264.274.346.464.190.35326.9%8.3%18.6%1071842.49—
2019136545.251.328.422.171.35222.8%9.4%13.4%17103172.33—
2018140534.238.305.395.157.29422.8%8.2%14.6%14102391.71—
2017148551.232.314.324.092.30321.8%10.7%11.1%632201.49—
9
.340
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
38
89.1
Median EV
78
95.1
90th % EV
27
103.0
Barrel %
34
7.2
Hard-Hit %
43
41.2
Sweet-Spot %
4
28.1
Bat Speed
Avg
36
69.4
Median
33
70.6
90th %
19
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
25.4
Whiff %
13
29.3
K %
30
23.1
BB %
76
12.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 52th pctl
Chase cost
-6.7r
60 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.0r
56 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.5%
386 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.50
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12123+0%7+33%9+8%13+43%712+44%9-42%12-21%14-21%24+7%14+67%124+40%20+11%18-21%28-48%23-31%1652+20%10-11%18+0%16+15%13+0%91+0%6+0%7452CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 386