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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
583
H
116
HR
20
AVG
.219
xwOBA
.304
PPG
1.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202660237.255.331.406.151.30719.0%9.3%9.7%541121.87—
202588271.238
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.304
xBA
7
.228
xSLG
.289
.548
.310
.329
28.4%
6.3%
22.1%
20
1
214
2.43
—
2024135513.214.294.407.193.26626.7%9.4%17.3%18122411.79—
2023159583.219.285.388.169.30423.2%7.7%15.5%20162711.70—
2022161593.235.304.442.207.30324.5%7.8%16.7%27173362.09—
202195315.246.318.437.191.32921.3%9.5%11.8%1161721.81—
202033115.188.287.366.178.29428.7%10.4%18.3%32441.33—
21
.395
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
85.7
Median EV
9
89.5
90th % EV
64
106.2
Barrel %
34
7.3
Hard-Hit %
16
36.1
Sweet-Spot %
45
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.6
Median
79
74.2
90th %
82
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
49
27.8
Whiff %
53
21.4
K %
27
23.2
BB %
35
7.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 70th pctl
Chase cost
-40.2r
419 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.8r
309 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.7%
2,382 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.35
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+17%6+11%9+14%7+10%10+0%743+7%14+64%14+18%39+27%37+9%22+14%14+0%8+37%30-4%57-29%59-26%58-31%58+17%29+21%14+44%27+2%44-21%48-23%57-16%62+57%28+0%7+23%13+25%24+25%20+13%40+38%1654314451CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000