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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
271
H
59
HR
20
AVG
.238
xwOBA
.329
PPG
2.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202660237.255.331.406.151.30719.0%9.3%9.7%541121.87—
202588271.238
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

271 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
43
.329
xBA
10
.230
.289
.548
.310
.329
28.4%
6.3%
22.1%
20
1
214
2.43
—
2024135513.214.294.407.193.26626.7%9.4%17.3%18122411.79—
2023159583.219.285.388.169.30423.2%7.7%15.5%20162711.70—
2022161593.235.304.442.207.30324.5%7.8%16.7%27173362.09—
202195315.246.318.437.191.32921.3%9.5%11.8%1161721.81—
202033115.188.287.366.178.29428.7%10.4%18.3%32441.33—
xSLG
86
.499
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.5
Median EV
36
92.4
90th % EV
69
107.0
Barrel %
89
15.9
Hard-Hit %
27
40.3
Sweet-Spot %
69
37.5
Bat Speed
Avg
92
73.7
Median
92
75.1
90th %
89
79.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.8
Whiff %
15
28.3
K %
6
28.4
BB %
20
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 67th pctl
Chase cost
-18.6r
203 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.4r
95 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.8%
1,019 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+33%65+20%10+7%1454+17%12+43%23+37%38+14%43+3%34+25%20+0%10+45%20+7%44-9%68-20%70+15%47+56%36+20%10+53%15+19%47-16%55-12%57-20%50+36%25+14%14+17%12+39%18+10%20+27%33+35%20+0%1112+0%64+0%6411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000