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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #41 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho · #41
V⁻ -13VORP 16V⁺ 48
Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho

OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
237
H
54
HR
5
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.307
PPG
1.87
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj87374.230.298.424.194.32023.5%8.3%15.1%1561872.15—
202660237.255
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.307
xBA
39
.250
xSLG
.331
.406
.151
.307
19.0%
9.3%
9.7%
5
4
112
1.87
—
202588271.238.289.548.310.32928.4%6.3%22.1%2012142.43—
2024135513.214.294.407.193.26626.7%9.4%17.3%18122411.79—
2023159583.219.285.388.169.30423.2%7.7%15.5%20162711.70—
2022161593.235.304.442.207.30324.5%7.8%16.7%27173362.09—
202195315.246.318.437.191.32921.3%9.5%11.8%1161721.81—
202033115.188.287.366.178.29428.7%10.4%18.3%32441.33—
14
.359
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
85.6
Median EV
7
87.1
90th % EV
11
101.0
Barrel %
24
6.0
Hard-Hit %
30
38.3
Sweet-Spot %
57
37.1
Bat Speed
Avg
62
71.4
Median
58
72.8
90th %
56
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
17
35.2
Whiff %
76
16.7
K %
58
19.0
BB %
49
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-5.4r
63 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.1r
29 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.0%
294 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.23
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2221322+43%7+22%9+38%8+11%9444+27%11-27%15-44%16+7%15+56%9+14%7+57%7+40%10-11%19+0%23+25%20+13%8533+36%14-44%9+50%6212331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 294