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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #80 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone · #60
V⁻ -18VORP 8V⁺ 17
Dominic Canzone

Dominic Canzone

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
161
H
40
HR
8
AVG
.280
xwOBA
.382
PPG
1.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj59254.244.307.424.181.32422.8%7.8%15.0%1031262.13—
202659161.280
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

161 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
87
.382
xBA
88
.291
.352
.531
.251
.382
21.1%
8.7%
12.4%
8
1
106
1.80
—
202593269.299.360.480.181.37721.9%7.4%14.5%1131451.56—
202466188.196.274.381.185.31528.2%9.6%18.6%81761.15—
202361182.220.258.399.179.33217.6%4.4%13.2%61971.59—
xSLG
93
.534
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
92
93.4
Median EV
69
94.0
90th % EV
81
107.7
Barrel %
94
17.1
Hard-Hit %
82
49.5
Sweet-Spot %
87
40.5
Bat Speed
Avg
80
73.0
Median
72
73.6
90th %
80
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
36
32.0
Whiff %
21
27.2
K %
45
21.1
BB %
40
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-3.8r
47 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.7r
32 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.1%
224 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14113145+0%12+18%11+0%6234-8%12-45%11-33%15-29%7+33%62+50%10+25%16-31%16-30%10+17%6224+25%82+43%711111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 224