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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Donovan Solano

Donovan Solano

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
450
H
111
HR
5
AVG
.282
xwOBA
.351
PPG
1.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202569180.246.292.335.089.25922.2%4.4%17.8%30670.97—
2024100309.286
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

450 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
69
.351
xBA
84
.279
.344
.417
.131
.313
21.0%
7.1%
13.9%
8
2
143
1.43
—
2023143450.282.370.391.109.35122.2%8.9%13.3%502071.45—
202284305.283.340.384.101.31920.0%6.2%13.8%401261.50—
2021111345.279.347.403.124.33916.8%7.2%9.6%721801.62—
202053204.325.365.461.136.32019.1%4.9%14.2%301122.11—
201986228.330.363.456.126.34721.5%4.4%17.1%401161.35—
20161323.227.261.455.228.24213.0%4.3%8.7%10151.15—
20156294.189.215.244.055.23319.1%1.1%18.0%00380.61—
xSLG
41
.430
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
61
90.2
Median EV
65
93.3
90th % EV
27
104.0
Barrel %
22
6.1
Hard-Hit %
62
43.7
Sweet-Spot %
97
43.7
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.4
Median
7
67.3
90th %
14
73.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
29.9
Whiff %
45
22.5
K %
37
22.2
BB %
49
8.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-31.5r
324 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.9r
286 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.2%
1,883 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+50%6551+13%8+22%9+39%18+14%22+30%10+46%135+65%23-7%42-29%55-29%55-2%41+42%31+0%7+60%25-5%65-31%68-35%71-12%41+21%28+0%7+29%28+27%44+15%39+13%38-4%25+7%143+0%6+7%15+43%7+0%952CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000