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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin

C·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
446
H
111
HR
19
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.354
PPG
2.39
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202682367.277.372.484.207.38921.3%11.2%10.1%2022402.93—
2025126446.274
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

446 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
73
.354
xBA
85
.278
.341
.469
.195
.354
15.2%
8.5%
6.7%
19
0
301
2.39
—
xSLG
78
.483
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.7
Median EV
80
94.7
90th % EV
60
106.3
Barrel %
63
11.0
Hard-Hit %
82
49.6
Sweet-Spot %
23
34.1
Bat Speed
Avg
91
73.6
Median
92
75.2
90th %
88
79.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
28.8
Whiff %
82
17.0
K %
82
15.2
BB %
47
8.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-33.1r
323 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.4r
203 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
1,758 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.42
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+10%10+13%15+8%13+33%6-14%74+45%11+50%24+32%38+13%38+26%31+5%215+46%26+17%47-27%73-15%84+0%59+48%21+18%11+50%28+22%49-19%53-20%46-18%38+39%185+38%16+28%29+30%20+11%19+6%18+0%6455+11%94111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000