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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #54 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Drew Millas
Drew Millas · #54
V⁻ -10VORP -262V⁺ 9
Drew Millas

Drew Millas

C·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
152
H
24
HR
2
AVG
.185
xwOBA
.271
PPG
0.98
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj40159.236.296.342.106.28818.2%7.6%10.5%23651.64—
202644152.185
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

152 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.271
xBA
1
.200
.279
.262
.077
.271
24.3%
9.2%
15.1%
2
0
43
0.98
—
20251656.300.352.440.140.31312.5%7.1%5.4%02342.13—
20242164.237.297.305.068.27225.0%7.8%17.2%14170.81—
20231133.286.375.464.178.34815.2%12.1%3.1%10191.73—
xSLG
0
.278
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
81.4
Median EV
0
79.7
90th % EV
0
88.2
Barrel %
9
3.1
Hard-Hit %
2
21.9
Sweet-Spot %
43
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
7
66.3
Median
6
67.1
90th %
8
72.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
62
27.9
Whiff %
51
21.3
K %
25
24.3
BB %
50
9.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Chase cost
-3.5r
29 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.0r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.8%
159 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1214325+29%742+57%7-17%125-29%73+33%644+25%8-12%8-41%174222351+43%711CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 159