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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #97 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers · #60
V⁻ -10VORP 4V⁺ 37
Dylan Beavers

Dylan Beavers

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
175
H
39
HR
2
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.307
PPG
1.47
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj42182.241.328.397.156.32623.4%11.2%12.2%55872.08—
202651175.255
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

175 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.307
xBA
24
.236
.341
.366
.111
.307
24.0%
10.3%
13.7%
2
4
75
1.47
—
202536138.225.372.396.171.34526.1%18.8%7.3%42671.86—
xSLG
16
.360
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
87.7
Median EV
44
92.1
90th % EV
27
103.0
Barrel %
20
5.3
Hard-Hit %
27
38.1
Sweet-Spot %
70
38.1
Bat Speed
Avg
54
70.7
Median
38
71.0
90th %
40
75.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
88
22.9
Whiff %
46
22.0
K %
28
24.0
BB %
62
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 54th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
34 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
38 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.7%
232 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
435213+17%6-12%8-11%9+0%9+17%62+36%11-18%11-18%17-33%24-25%8+71%71+14%7+33%12-33%12-8%12-33%911353522CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 232