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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Dylan Moore

Dylan Moore

2B / SS / OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
BF
8
K %
0.0%
BB %
12.5%
xwOBA
.375
PTS
1
PPG
0.50
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2026201.700005.406.700.0%12.5%-12.5%.375.16766.7%66.7%10.50
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

8 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2019
1
0
1.0
0
0
0
0
36.00
9.10
0.0%
20.0%
-20.0%
.492
.625
42.9%
37.5%
-12
-12.00
Extension
0
4.15
Results
xwOBA
6
.375
Barrel %
100
0.0
Hard-Hit %
100
16.7
K %
0
0.0
BB %
6
12.5
Chase %
31
28.6
Whiff %
0
11.1
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
-135
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
-66
if they swing
Command+
70
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
-89
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
65.0%
13 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
—
RV per pitch · league 0.042
— on avg · 0 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.199
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.170 worse than avg · 2 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 20 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
EephusEP
75.0%38.5952+21.7+0.54.0512.5%33.3%13.3%40.0%—0.328
SliderSL
15.0%65.61757

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE60°100 PITCHSAMPLE
EPSLFA
Usage75%15%10%
MPH38.565.672.8
RHP Avg—86.7—

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTEP · 15″SL · 20″FA · 25″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′EP · 166″SL · 96″FA · 80″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (8.12′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
EPSLFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
EPSLFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
EPSLFA

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

+11.4
+3.1
4.23
—
33.3%
33.3%
0.0%
—
0.711
OtherFA
10.0%72.81704+12.7+13.84.80—0.0%0.0%0.0%——