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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Eddie Rosario

Eddie Rosario

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
516
H
122
HR
21
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.320
PPG
1.87
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202548.125.125.125.000.32925.0%0.0%25.0%00-1-0.25—
202495321.174
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

516 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
23
.320
xBA
40
.250
.216
.314
.140
.264
24.0%
5.0%
19.0%
10
9
117
1.23
—
2023151516.255.306.450.195.32023.6%6.6%17.0%2132831.87—
202293270.212.262.328.116.25525.2%6.3%18.9%53840.90—
2021134414.257.306.433.176.32414.7%6.3%8.4%14123122.33—
202060231.257.319.476.219.32114.7%8.2%6.5%1331632.72—
2019144591.275.303.499.224.32914.6%3.7%10.9%3254323.00—
2018140592.288.324.479.191.30617.6%5.1%12.5%2483642.60—
2017151589.290.333.507.217.33318.0%5.9%12.1%2793822.53—
2016100354.269.298.421.152.27325.7%3.4%22.3%1061801.80—
xSLG
50
.440
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.3
Median EV
16
90.2
90th % EV
21
103.6
Barrel %
53
9.5
Hard-Hit %
14
35.4
Sweet-Spot %
63
37.3
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.3
Median
27
70.0
90th %
25
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
2
43.5
Whiff %
19
27.7
K %
26
23.6
BB %
25
6.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
82
≈ 3th pctl
Chase cost
-52.5r
498 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.3r
200 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
57.1%
1,930 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.20
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
44+9%11+8%13+0%1145+87%15+31%26+20%46+23%48+38%29+29%14+19%16+48%29+6%50-26%58-20%59-24%51+61%36+42%12+68%40+9%45-14%51-13%39-9%34+82%11+50%12+46%24+35%23+17%18+53%17+17%12+50%101+29%73+50%834CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000