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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #128 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

0+50+100+150Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez · #60
V⁻ —VORP -41V⁺ —
Eduardo Rodriguez

Eduardo Rodriguez

SP·ARI
Compare
Compare
BF
336
K %
17.9%
BB %
9.5%
xwOBA
.341
PTS
173
PPG
12.36
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj221798.065004.454.2619.5%8.5%11.0%————1506.80
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
14
91.2
FB Spin
53
2280
Extension
2026
14
14
81.3
5
2
0
0
2.55
4.08
17.9%
9.5%
8.4%
.341
.254
84.5%
40.6%
173
12.36
20253030158.7910005.054.4620.6%8.6%12.0%.331.33570.8%38.9%1956.50
2024101050.034005.044.5021.0%8.5%12.5%.360.32272.5%38.2%616.10
20232727158.0139003.363.5223.0%7.7%15.3%.311.28376.2%42.6%33912.56
20222020105.057004.034.4018.4%8.7%9.7%.319.27569.8%44.2%1658.25
20213635172.3159004.753.2127.4%7.0%20.4%.289.35667.6%44.9%3299.14
20193534205.3196003.773.7424.7%8.7%16.0%.294.31777.9%49.5%45312.94
20183424139.7135014.003.7126.4%8.1%18.3%.302.29375.6%39.1%3199.38
20172826146.377004.433.8725.8%8.6%17.2%.310.30571.2%35.8%2609.29
20162020107.037004.714.3821.8%8.5%13.3%.300.27870.2%32.7%1507.50
41
6.41
Results
xwOBA
26
.341
Barrel %
49
8.2
Hard-Hit %
79
36.1
K %
26
17.9
BB %
26
9.5
Chase %
20
27.8
Whiff %
8
16.7
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
97
≈ 39th pctl
Stuff+
98
if they swing
Command+
97
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
100
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.4%
38 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.044
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.002 worse than avg · 94 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.022
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.007 better than avg · 24 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 367 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
35.8%91.62241+16.1+7.16.3319.7%56.1%31.1%22.4%17.5%0.319
ChangeupCH
34.7%85.6

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE43°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFCHFCCUSI
Usage36%35%15%9%6%
MPH91.685.688.678.791.5
LHP Avg93.284.688.179.093.0
1853
+5.2
+17.0
6.41
17.7%
37.5%
18.0%
32.5%
8.6%
0.293
CutterFC
14.6%88.62245+9.0-0.76.389.1%51.9%25.9%23.1%30.0%0.364
CurveballCU
9.2%78.72299-6.6-5.66.3910.0%50.0%38.2%23.5%0.0%0.265
SinkerSI
5.7%91.52223+11.6+11.56.350.0%47.6%14.3%9.1%14.3%0.518

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 17″FC · 20″SI · 20″CH · 22″CU · 24″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 31″FC · 40″SI · 34″CH · 46″CU · 62″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.24′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFCHFCCUSI-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHFCCUSI-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFCHFCCUSI

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.