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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-300-200-1000+100
Elias Díaz

Elias Díaz

C·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
115
H
28
HR
4
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.281
PPG
1.44
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj14.239.265.306.067.25624.2%3.4%20.9%0010.78—
202636115.252
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

115 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.281
xBA
56
.257
.265
.423
.171
.281
20.0%
1.7%
18.3%
4
0
52
1.44
—
202599283.204.270.337.133.26826.1%7.4%18.7%901011.02—
202497352.264.314.380.116.28419.6%5.7%13.9%601511.56—
2023146526.267.318.409.142.29622.4%6.5%15.9%1412491.71—
2022113381.228.283.368.140.27421.5%6.6%14.9%901601.42—
2021112371.246.311.464.218.31616.2%8.1%8.1%1802242.00—
20202573.235.288.353.118.30920.5%6.8%13.7%20281.12—
201998332.241.299.307.066.27716.9%6.9%10.0%201211.23—
201886277.286.343.452.166.34314.4%7.6%6.8%1001661.93—
201764200.223.266.314.091.27119.0%5.5%13.5%11731.14—
xSLG
35
.383
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
84.8
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
22
5.6
Hard-Hit %
20
35.6
Sweet-Spot %
43
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
75
72.8
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
4
40.9
Whiff %
31
25.4
K %
61
20.0
BB %
0
1.7