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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elias Díaz

Elias Díaz

C·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
526
H
130
HR
14
AVG
.267
xwOBA
.296
PPG
1.71
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026927.231.259.538.307.27625.9%3.7%22.2%20171.89—
202599283.204
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

526 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.296
xBA
19
.240
.270
.337
.133
.268
26.1%
7.4%
18.7%
9
0
101
1.02
—
202497352.264.314.380.116.28419.6%5.7%13.9%601511.56—
2023146526.267.318.409.142.29622.4%6.5%15.9%1412491.71—
2022113381.228.283.368.140.27421.5%6.6%14.9%901601.42—
2021112371.246.311.464.218.31616.2%8.1%8.1%1802242.00—
20202573.235.288.353.118.30920.5%6.8%13.7%20281.12—
201998332.241.299.307.066.27716.9%6.9%10.0%201211.23—
201886277.286.343.452.166.34314.4%7.6%6.8%1001661.93—
201764200.223.266.314.091.27119.0%5.5%13.5%11731.14—
xSLG
11
.377
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
88.1
Median EV
13
89.6
90th % EV
53
105.4
Barrel %
24
6.2
Hard-Hit %
25
38.4
Sweet-Spot %
7
31.2
Bat Speed
Avg
71
71.9
Median
70
73.1
90th %
67
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
12
36.2
Whiff %
27
25.9
K %
37
22.4
BB %
22
6.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 39th pctl
Chase cost
-43.2r
450 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.2r
196 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.8%
2,021 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.64
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
1243342+83%6+35%17+48%23+42%24+55%20+29%74+79%14+8%24-11%54-11%55-15%48+45%20+8%13+73%33+24%62-25%81-20%59-18%34+26%27+8%13+50%30+47%34+50%40+15%41-4%28+0%10+0%9+25%12+10%21+17%1244+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000