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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elias Díaz

Elias Díaz

C·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
352
H
86
HR
6
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.284
PPG
1.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20261233.281.303.563.282.29521.2%3.0%18.2%20242.00—
202599283.204
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

352 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.284
xBA
32
.242
.270
.337
.133
.268
26.1%
7.4%
18.7%
9
0
101
1.02
—
202497352.264.314.380.116.28419.6%5.7%13.9%601511.56—
2023146526.267.318.409.142.29622.4%6.5%15.9%1412491.71—
2022113381.228.283.368.140.27421.5%6.6%14.9%901601.42—
2021112371.246.311.464.218.31616.2%8.1%8.1%1802242.00—
20202573.235.288.353.118.30920.5%6.8%13.7%20281.12—
201998332.241.299.307.066.27716.9%6.9%10.0%201211.23—
201886277.286.343.452.166.34314.4%7.6%6.8%1001661.93—
201764200.223.266.314.091.27119.0%5.5%13.5%11731.14—
xSLG
4
.347
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.1
Median EV
10
89.6
90th % EV
61
105.6
Barrel %
13
4.7
Hard-Hit %
13
34.5
Sweet-Spot %
13
32.2
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.1
Median
77
73.5
90th %
78
78.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
17
33.2
Whiff %
26
26.5
K %
57
19.6
BB %
10
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
99
≈ 45th pctl
Chase cost
-27.7r
290 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.1r
140 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.7%
1,357 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.57
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1451+43%14+47%15+14%14+9%23+38%16+14%75+70%20+27%22-18%56-17%48-24%34+26%31+0%6+68%25+9%56-24%71-22%82-4%52+33%18+0%15+43%21+50%44+24%49+16%31+19%26+0%65+25%12+11%19+36%14+25%8+0%742CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000