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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elias Díaz

Elias Díaz

C·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
283
H
52
HR
9
AVG
.204
xwOBA
.268
PPG
1.02
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026927.231.259.538.307.27625.9%3.7%22.2%20171.89—
202599283.204
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

283 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.268
xBA
1
.209
.270
.337
.133
.268
26.1%
7.4%
18.7%
9
0
101
1.02
—
202497352.264.314.380.116.28419.6%5.7%13.9%601511.56—
2023146526.267.318.409.142.29622.4%6.5%15.9%1412491.71—
2022113381.228.283.368.140.27421.5%6.6%14.9%901601.42—
2021112371.246.311.464.218.31616.2%8.1%8.1%1802242.00—
20202573.235.288.353.118.30920.5%6.8%13.7%20281.12—
201998332.241.299.307.066.27716.9%6.9%10.0%201211.23—
201886277.286.343.452.166.34314.4%7.6%6.8%1001661.93—
201764200.223.266.314.091.27119.0%5.5%13.5%11731.14—
xSLG
2
.340
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.1
Median EV
16
90.4
90th % EV
45
105.3
Barrel %
27
7.5
Hard-Hit %
23
38.7
Sweet-Spot %
4
31.2
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.7
Median
55
72.3
90th %
58
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.1
Whiff %
0
33.2
K %
18
26.1
BB %
34
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-18.3r
206 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.5r
122 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.1%
1,072 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.31
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
122234+33%9+48%25+23%22+37%19+0%9+0%7+64%14+3%33-20%51-15%71-13%53+42%19+0%19+42%31+5%56-25%75-22%58-20%45+23%30+0%15+35%23+57%37+33%33+23%43+5%20+29%75+17%12+0%14+20%15+11%9+0%923CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000