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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #7 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz · #7
V⁻ -7VORP 45V⁺ 47
Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz

SS·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
258
H
65
HR
12
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.361
PPG
2.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj101436.262.334.467.205.35327.2%9.5%17.7%18242452.43—
202658258.279
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
68
.361
xBA
57
.262
xSLG
.346
.506
.227
.361
29.5%
8.5%
21.0%
12
10
153
2.64
—
2025169701.263.336.439.176.32825.8%9.6%16.2%22374082.41—
2024165697.258.339.470.212.33231.3%9.9%21.4%25684112.49—
202397429.233.300.408.175.30833.6%8.2%25.4%13351972.03—
75
.481
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
95
94.2
Median EV
92
97.4
90th % EV
93
109.7
Barrel %
87
14.6
Hard-Hit %
92
52.9
Sweet-Spot %
62
37.6
Bat Speed
Avg
80
73.2
Median
73
74.0
90th %
82
79.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
66
26.5
Whiff %
20
27.7
K %
11
29.5
BB %
36
8.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-7.8r
71 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.1r
75 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.7%
423 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%62421113+33%9+6%16-21%14+44%9+17%63+45%11+17%18-42%26-52%21-26%27+20%101+33%18+48%21-44%25-24%25-29%14+46%13+0%11+31%13-18%11-17%12+9%1132113CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 423