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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz

SS·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
429
H
91
HR
13
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.308
PPG
2.03
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202658258.279.346.506.227.36129.5%8.5%21.0%12101532.64—
2025169701.263
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

429 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.308
xBA
17
.236
.336
.439
.176
.328
25.8%
9.6%
16.2%
22
37
408
2.41
—
2024165697.258.339.470.212.33231.3%9.9%21.4%25684112.49—
202397429.233.300.408.175.30833.6%8.2%25.4%13351972.03—
xSLG
17
.393
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.5
Median EV
62
93.1
90th % EV
96
109.2
Barrel %
47
8.5
Hard-Hit %
67
45.9
Sweet-Spot %
5
30.5
Bat Speed
Avg
98
75.1
Median
96
76.2
90th %
97
81.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
22
32.9
Whiff %
20
27.2
K %
0
33.6
BB %
39
8.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
73
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-38.2r
341 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.6r
283 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.3%
1,750 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.53
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
454+0%11+0%1144+29%7+48%23+36%22+7%29+17%30+19%16+0%8+26%31-2%46-40%62-28%71-36%42+19%32+27%15+42%26+14%51-51%65-28%39-27%40+19%16+47%15+13%15+35%23+12%33+14%22+11%18+33%9343+67%6+11%9532CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000