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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz

SS·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
697
H
160
HR
25
AVG
.258
xwOBA
.332
PPG
2.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202658258.279.346.506.227.36129.5%8.5%21.0%12101532.64—
2025169701.263
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.332
xBA
9
.228
xSLG
.336
.439
.176
.328
25.8%
9.6%
16.2%
22
37
408
2.41
—
2024165697.258.339.470.212.33231.3%9.9%21.4%25684112.49—
202397429.233.300.408.175.30833.6%8.2%25.4%13351972.03—
44
.426
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
90.9
Median EV
64
93.4
90th % EV
90
108.7
Barrel %
81
12.7
Hard-Hit %
68
45.7
Sweet-Spot %
65
36.7
Bat Speed
Avg
86
73.2
Median
87
74.8
90th %
90
80.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
53
26.8
Whiff %
2
32.1
K %
1
31.3
BB %
65
9.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-50.5r
474 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-30.6r
445 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.1%
2,738 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.96
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
44+20%10+21%14+13%8+0%82+55%11+42%26+8%39+5%40+23%26+32%25+18%11+36%25+12%43-42%64-38%68-32%53+44%25+46%13+29%24+13%32-24%46-27%45-22%51+24%29+14%7+35%17+36%22+4%28+5%21+44%18+28%18554+11%9+50%654CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000