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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Elly De La Cruz

Elly De La Cruz

SS·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
701
H
166
HR
22
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.328
PPG
2.41
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202658258.279.346.506.227.36129.5%8.5%21.0%12101532.64—
2025169701.263
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.328
xBA
20
.237
xSLG
.336
.439
.176
.328
25.8%
9.6%
16.2%
22
37
408
2.41
—
2024165697.258.339.470.212.33231.3%9.9%21.4%25684112.49—
202397429.233.300.408.175.30833.6%8.2%25.4%13351972.03—
26
.407
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
64
90.8
Median EV
34
92.3
90th % EV
80
107.7
Barrel %
54
10.2
Hard-Hit %
45
44.1
Sweet-Spot %
26
34.5
Bat Speed
Avg
80
72.5
Median
82
74.0
90th %
85
79.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
41
28.5
Whiff %
9
29.5
K %
21
25.8
BB %
64
9.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-51.5r
477 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-29.9r
423 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.5%
2,740 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
34+0%9+0%10+17%12+0%72+40%10+38%24+10%30+15%34+15%33+32%22+14%7+32%25+17%48-35%66-38%50-29%45+31%35+40%10+52%21+0%40-31%52-23%60-35%49+26%23+43%7+20%15+65%23+15%26+12%25+0%18+27%11+14%733+33%9+0%634CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000