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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
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    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Enrique Hernández

Enrique Hernández

1B / 3B / OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
BF
18
K %
0.0%
BB %
0.0%
xwOBA
.409
PTS
4
PPG
1.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2025505.3000015.199.662.7%21.6%-18.9%.444.37045.5%42.9%-20-4.00
2024 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

18 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2024
4
0
4.3
0
0
0
0
4.15
3.10
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
.409
.278
60.0%
11.1%
4
1.00
2018100.3010081.0060.100.0%50.0%-50.0%.755.0000.0%0.0%-13-13.00
Extension
0
3.94
Results
xwOBA
0
.409
Barrel %
90
5.6
Hard-Hit %
7
44.4
K %
0
0.0
BB %
100
0.0
Chase %
0
13.6
Whiff %
0
0.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
-35
≈ 1th pctl
Stuff+
-43
if they swing
Command+
65
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
-7
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
62.2%
28 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.153
RV per pitch · league 0.046
+0.107 worse than avg · 3 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.026
RV per pitch · league 0.031
-0.057 better than avg · 6 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 45 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
EephusEP
91.1%50.91344+18.7+5.33.910.0%53.7%17.1%10.5%0.0%0.432
Slow CurveCS
6.7%53.21256

2024 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE53°100 PITCHSAMPLE
EPCSFA
Usage91%7%2%
MPH50.953.284.5
RHP Avg——67.9
+16.6
-13.0
4.03
0.0%
33.3%
0.0%
50.0%
—
0.033
OtherFA
2.2%84.52168+14.2+5.25.20—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

2024 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFA · 10″EP · 18″CS · 20″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FA · 50″EP · 133″CS · 129″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (6.39′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2024 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
EPCSFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
EPCSFA-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
EPCSFA

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.