Flanker the ClankerFlanker
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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Erick Fedde

Erick Fedde

SP / RP·CHW
Compare
Compare
BF
277
K %
14.4%
BB %
8.7%
xwOBA
.337
PTS
56
PPG
4.31
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj8847.024005.184.9816.0%9.1%6.9%————425.21
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
28
92.3
FB Spin
7
2100
Extension
2026
13
8
63.3
1
5
0
0
4.69
5.99
14.4%
8.7%
5.7%
.337
.256
75.6%
37.7%
56
4.31
20253325145.3413015.395.0913.3%10.7%2.6%.357.28667.4%42.1%902.73
20243232182.399003.263.7521.2%7.2%14.0%.310.26879.0%41.7%36411.38
20223030136.3713005.414.9916.4%10.1%6.3%.361.31470.9%42.8%1013.37
20213027135.079005.404.5521.7%8.1%13.6%.341.31565.3%51.3%1695.63
202012852.324104.305.8712.6%9.9%2.7%.361.23880.0%55.6%615.08
2019211278.042004.505.2312.3%9.9%2.4%.385.28376.5%51.6%934.43
2018121152.324005.334.6720.9%10.0%10.9%.365.32971.2%54.4%524.33
20174420.311007.085.8519.7%10.5%9.2%.391.36169.0%65.4%123.00
59
6.58
Results
xwOBA
32
.337
Barrel %
34
9.2
Hard-Hit %
53
39.6
K %
5
14.4
BB %
38
8.7
Chase %
2
23.9
Whiff %
3
16.0
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
113
≈ 90th pctl
Stuff+
109
if they swing
Command+
109
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
114
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
5.6%
14 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.045
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.003 worse than avg · 74 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.025
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.054 better than avg · 8 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 251 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
SweeperST
33.5%82.02514+1.9-14.96.5727.9%41.7%29.8%42.9%17.1%0.163
CutterFC
28.7%89.9

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE35°100 PITCHSAMPLE
STFCSICHFF
Usage33%29%22%15%1%
MPH82.089.994.088.893.1
RHP Avg83.389.894.386.995.0
2176
+6.6
-2.2
6.60
15.2%
56.9%
30.6%
22.6%
15.4%
0.393
SinkerSI
22.3%94.02067+9.1+11.96.624.0%55.4%19.6%20.0%7.7%0.340
ChangeupCH
14.7%88.81794+2.8+12.26.5735.7%18.9%18.9%26.7%27.3%0.195
4-Seam FastballFF
0.8%93.11993+12.9+6.86.65—0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 14″FC · 19″SI · 20″ST · 23″CH · 24″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 27″FC · 36″SI · 27″ST · 56″CH · 40″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.38′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
STFCSICHFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
STFCSICHFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
STFCSICHFF

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.