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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

SS·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
615
H
147
HR
15
AVG
.253
xwOBA
.291
PPG
1.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662241.207.261.320.113.29626.6%5.8%20.8%44721.16—
202599391.252
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.291
xBA
25
.243
xSLG
.295
.399
.147
.320
25.1%
5.4%
19.7%
9
5
158
1.60
—
2024161697.268.297.467.199.29228.7%3.3%25.4%2663031.88—
2023158615.253.289.408.155.29127.0%4.1%22.9%15112851.80—
20221535.212.257.333.121.30225.7%5.7%20.0%11392.60—
14
.387
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.6
Median EV
19
90.7
90th % EV
27
104.0
Barrel %
42
8.1
Hard-Hit %
16
36.2
Sweet-Spot %
56
36.9
Bat Speed
Avg
50
70.4
Median
42
71.3
90th %
46
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
2
42.0
Whiff %
11
29.4
K %
14
27.0
BB %
1
4.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Chase cost
-54.5r
600 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.3r
206 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
59.4%
2,334 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.82
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
13+33%6+43%7335+40%25+64%11+21%19+31%16+10%103+88%16+11%35-10%42-14%58-7%27+46%26+13%15+66%35+8%64-19%63-22%64-9%47+35%23+13%8+53%30+62%45+42%53+28%32+29%24+14%14+0%7+43%14+62%13+46%13+29%7+17%625CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000