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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

SS·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
697
H
176
HR
26
AVG
.268
xwOBA
.292
PPG
1.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664253.209.260.329.120.29827.7%5.5%22.2%54691.08—
202599391.252
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.292
xBA
14
.232
xSLG
.295
.399
.147
.320
25.1%
5.4%
19.7%
9
5
158
1.60
—
2024161697.268.297.467.199.29228.7%3.3%25.4%2663031.88—
2023158615.253.289.408.155.29127.0%4.1%22.9%15112851.80—
20221535.212.257.333.121.30225.7%5.7%20.0%11392.60—
38
.414
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
87.9
Median EV
49
92.5
90th % EV
23
103.2
Barrel %
49
9.0
Hard-Hit %
31
39.8
Sweet-Spot %
89
40.5
Bat Speed
Avg
38
69.7
Median
35
70.8
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
1
43.7
Whiff %
6
31.0
K %
6
28.7
BB %
1
3.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-65.3r
659 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.9r
207 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
62.2%
2,542 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.96
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
224114+63%8+11%18+29%17+11%1825+56%16+5%39-7%54-9%45-24%42+57%23+8%13+76%29+8%49-14%77-17%65+6%48+62%21+8%12+50%26+64%42+38%47+30%40+40%25+38%16+17%6+54%13+36%14+33%18+29%21+33%6+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000