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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ezequiel Tovar

Ezequiel Tovar

SS·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
391
H
91
HR
9
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.320
PPG
1.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662241.207.261.320.113.29626.6%5.8%20.8%44721.16—
202599391.252
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

391 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.320
xBA
63
.262
.295
.399
.147
.320
25.1%
5.4%
19.7%
9
5
158
1.60
—
2024161697.268.297.467.199.29228.7%3.3%25.4%2663031.88—
2023158615.253.289.408.155.29127.0%4.1%22.9%15112851.80—
20221535.212.257.333.121.30225.7%5.7%20.0%11392.60—
xSLG
52
.441
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.8
Median EV
18
90.6
90th % EV
45
105.3
Barrel %
46
9.3
Hard-Hit %
23
38.9
Sweet-Spot %
99
45.2
Bat Speed
Avg
40
69.9
Median
38
71.1
90th %
42
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
5
40.8
Whiff %
12
28.9
K %
25
25.1
BB %
11
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-36.6r
388 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.4r
116 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
60.3%
1,510 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.78
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
31422+50%6+40%10+20%10+16%25+50%24+0%74+40%10+7%29-14%51-23%60-10%40+58%26+21%14+59%22+16%49-9%67-14%59-6%50+58%31+22%9+65%23+62%37+42%60+34%47+39%23+15%13+14%7+29%7+50%16+33%6+14%7+0%943CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000