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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Freddy Fermin

Freddy Fermin

C·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
369
H
92
HR
6
AVG
.271
xwOBA
.283
PPG
1.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202639139.149.237.264.115.26120.9%8.6%12.3%30421.08—
2025108348.250
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

369 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.283
xBA
40
.244
.296
.338
.088
.272
18.7%
5.5%
13.2%
5
1
138
1.28
—
2024103369.271.321.365.094.28317.9%6.2%11.7%621611.56—
202363235.281.325.461.180.33121.3%5.5%15.8%901221.94—
202277.000.000.000.000.02442.9%0.0%42.9%00-3-0.43—
xSLG
2
.340
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.4
Median EV
10
89.9
90th % EV
15
102.3
Barrel %
6
3.2
Hard-Hit %
12
33.9
Sweet-Spot %
7
30.7
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.4
Median
25
70.2
90th %
23
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.6
Whiff %
58
20.8
K %
69
17.9
BB %
14
6.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Chase cost
-25.7r
285 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.8r
172 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.9%
1,433 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
433511+44%9+18%11+13%24-7%14+45%2052+53%17+0%38-31%55-15%55-3%34+56%32+0%7+35%26-4%53-23%82-27%55+2%42+66%35+20%10+21%24+26%38+22%41+17%41+38%26+33%213+13%8+0%11+0%11+10%10411CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000