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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Freddy Fermin

Freddy Fermin

C·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
348
H
80
HR
5
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.272
PPG
1.28
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202638130.161.254.286.125.26121.5%9.2%12.3%30431.13—
2025108348.250
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

348 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.272
xBA
25
.239
.296
.338
.088
.272
18.7%
5.5%
13.2%
5
1
138
1.28
—
2024103369.271.321.365.094.28317.9%6.2%11.7%621611.56—
202363235.281.325.461.180.33121.3%5.5%15.8%901221.94—
202277.000.000.000.000.02442.9%0.0%42.9%00-3-0.43—
xSLG
3
.342
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
85.9
Median EV
13
90.0
90th % EV
15
102.5
Barrel %
7
4.2
Hard-Hit %
13
34.1
Sweet-Spot %
1
30.3
Bat Speed
Avg
11
67.3
Median
13
69.1
90th %
9
73.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.5
Whiff %
52
22.0
K %
65
18.7
BB %
12
5.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-24.9r
251 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.5r
182 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.9%
1,402 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+38%83314+44%16+44%16+35%20+67%15+55%115+25%8+6%31-16%44-26%73-15%39+44%18+9%11+31%29+4%51-29%94-26%86-7%60+67%214+17%30+25%40+17%46+16%44+13%24+36%115+0%10+33%12+5%203+0%821CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000