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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #53 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin · #53
V⁻ -23VORP -264V⁺ -1
Freddy Fermin

Freddy Fermin

C·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
130
H
18
HR
3
AVG
.161
xwOBA
.261
PPG
1.13
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj44174.230.288.332.102.28120.1%7.3%12.8%31651.48—
202638130.161
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

130 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.261
xBA
2
.196
.254
.286
.125
.261
21.5%
9.2%
12.3%
3
0
43
1.13
—
2025108348.250.296.338.088.27218.7%5.5%13.2%511381.28—
2024103369.271.321.365.094.28317.9%6.2%11.7%621611.56—
202363235.281.325.461.180.33121.3%5.5%15.8%901221.94—
202277.000.000.000.000.02442.9%0.0%42.9%00-3-0.43—
xSLG
0
.284
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
83.6
Median EV
31
91.1
90th % EV
6
100.1
Barrel %
4
2.3
Hard-Hit %
4
26.1
Sweet-Spot %
25
33.0
Bat Speed
Avg
12
67.1
Median
22
69.5
90th %
21
74.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
33
32.1
Whiff %
38
23.4
K %
41
21.5
BB %
46
9.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 72th pctl
Chase cost
-3.3r
38 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
21 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.1%
187 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.29
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22112+22%941+57%745-18%11-9%11+50%614+38%8-18%17+0%10-29%741+29%7+50%12-9%11+0%6+25%824511CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 187